Player profile
Eli Serrano III
New York Mets · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: L · Throws: L
Projection updated: October 3, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.
PB Rank#814
Prospect Score58.4
Median55
Performance Signal-11.4
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
515560
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -11.4
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 47
Latest recorded 55
2026-10-03 · Median 55
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 55 |
| 2026-09-30 | 55 |
| 2026-09-29 | 55 |
| 2026-09-25 | 55 |
| 2026-09-24 | 55 |
| 2026-09-22 | 55 |
| 2026-09-21 | 55 |
| 2026-09-19 | 55 |
| 2026-09-18 | 55 |
| 2026-09-17 | 55 |
| 2026-09-16 | 55 |
| 2026-09-15 | 55 |
| 2026-09-14 | 55.4 |
| 2026-09-09 | 55 |
| 2026-09-06 | 55 |
| 2026-09-05 | 55 |
| 2026-09-03 | 55 |
| 2026-09-02 | 56 |
| 2026-09-01 | 56 |
| 2026-08-28 | 56 |
| 2026-08-27 | 56 |
| 2026-08-25 | 48.9 |
| 2026-08-23 | 38.7 |
| 2026-08-22 | 39 |
| 2026-08-20 | 39 |
| 2026-06-25 | 47 |
| 2026-06-24 | 47 |
| 2026-06-23 | 47 |
| 2026-06-22 | 47 |
| 2026-06-21 | 47 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
92
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
5
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.