Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Eli Willits

WSH · AA · SS

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 18.8 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#5
Prospect Score90
Median88
Performance73
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 72th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.198

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+6.8 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 74
Game Power+22.2 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 72

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 85 Latest recorded 88
97 84.5 72 2026-06-04 · Median 85 2026-06-05 · Median 85 2026-06-06 · Median 85 2026-06-07 · Median 85 2026-06-08 · Median 85 2026-06-09 · Median 85 2026-06-10 · Median 85 2026-06-11 · Median 76 2026-06-12 · Median 76 2026-06-13 · Median 76 2026-06-14 · Median 76 2026-06-15 · Median 93 2026-06-16 · Median 93 2026-06-17 · Median 92 2026-06-18 · Median 92 2026-06-19 · Median 93 2026-06-20 · Median 92 2026-06-21 · Median 92 2026-06-22 · Median 92 2026-06-23 · Median 92 2026-06-24 · Median 91 2026-06-25 · Median 91 2026-06-26 · Median 90 2026-06-28 · Median 92 2026-06-29 · Median 91 2026-06-30 · Median 91 2026-07-01 · Median 92 2026-07-03 · Median 87 2026-07-05 · Median 86 2026-07-07 · Median 86 2026-07-09 · Median 86 2026-07-11 · Median 85 2026-07-12 · Median 84 2026-07-14 · Median 84 2026-07-16 · Median 84 2026-07-21 · Median 83 2026-07-22 · Median 83 2026-07-23 · Median 83 2026-07-24 · Median 83 2026-07-25 · Median 83 2026-07-26 · Median 84 2026-07-27 · Median 84 2026-07-28 · Median 84 2026-07-29 · Median 84 2026-07-30 · Median 83 2026-07-31 · Median 83 2026-08-01 · Median 83 2026-08-03 · Median 83 2026-08-05 · Median 83 2026-08-07 · Median 83 2026-08-08 · Median 85 2026-08-09 · Median 85 2026-08-10 · Median 86 2026-08-11 · Median 86 2026-08-13 · Median 86 2026-08-14 · Median 86 2026-08-16 · Median 83 2026-08-17 · Median 83 2026-08-18 · Median 83 2026-08-19 · Median 83 2026-08-20 · Median 83 2026-08-22 · Median 83 2026-08-23 · Median 82.9 2026-08-25 · Median 82.9 2026-08-27 · Median 83 2026-08-28 · Median 83 2026-09-01 · Median 83 2026-09-02 · Median 83 2026-09-03 · Median 83 2026-09-05 · Median 83 2026-09-06 · Median 83 2026-09-09 · Median 87 2026-09-14 · Median 88.1 2026-09-15 · Median 88 2026-09-16 · Median 88 2026-09-17 · Median 88 2026-09-18 · Median 88 2026-09-19 · Median 88 2026-09-21 · Median 88 2026-09-22 · Median 88 2026-09-24 · Median 88 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 88

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2488
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.198

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.463

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 21.0%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G114
PA538
AVG.265
OBP.406
SLG.463
OPS.869
HR14
SB62
BB%17.7%
K%21.0%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
838894
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 73

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #4 MLB Top 100
Confidence94
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production55.0
Historical 80% error band38–72
MLB arrival in 3 years96%
Productive MLB role in 3 years60%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit60Above Avg
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense60Above Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall60Above Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Contact Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels136154917431106148.315.393.556.949
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Harrisburg SenatorsAA31714351015342.357.471.6431.113
2026Wilmington Blue RocksHigh-A642892265152125733545531.230.392.420.813
2026Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A472321904857143637385429.300.418.500.918
20263 teams · TotalAll levels11453843010211427814759511362.265.406.463.869
2025Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A15585071511057122.300.397.360.757

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.