Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Elian Guzman

TOR · DSL · P · Age 19

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score28.2#4,863 Overall
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Performance37Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Ceiling47High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
37Developing performance profile
Miss ability14.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command17.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.70 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited34How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited73Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 34
39 34.5 30 2026-09-02 · Median 34 2026-09-03 · Median 34 2026-09-05 · Median 34 2026-09-06 · Median 34 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 34.8 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 34 2026-09-30 · Median 34 2026-10-03 · Median 34 2026-10-04 · Median 34 2026-10-05 · Median 34 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 34

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0534
2026-10-0434
2026-10-0334
2026-09-3034
2026-09-2934
2026-09-2535
2026-09-2435
2026-09-2235
2026-09-2135
2026-09-1935
2026-09-1835
2026-09-1735
2026-09-1635
2026-09-1535
2026-09-1434.8
2026-09-0935
2026-09-0634
2026-09-0534
2026-09-0334
2026-09-0234