Player Profile
Elian Peña
NYM · High-A · SS · Age 19
Bats L · Throws RProspect Score71.9#151 Overall
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling73High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.
Performance
Selected evidence56Solid current performance
Power.116 ISONear expected range
Contact22.9% KNear expected range
Approach13.6% BBStrong on-base approach
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection46.0
Projected Range31–62
Arrival Probability67%
Productive Role Probability21%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelHigh-A
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 63
Latest recorded 67
2026-10-05 · Median 67
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 67 |
| 2026-10-04 | 67 |
| 2026-10-03 | 68 |
| 2026-09-30 | 68 |
| 2026-09-29 | 68 |
| 2026-09-25 | 68 |
| 2026-09-24 | 68 |
| 2026-09-22 | 68 |
| 2026-09-21 | 68 |
| 2026-09-19 | 68 |
| 2026-09-18 | 68 |
| 2026-09-17 | 68 |
| 2026-09-16 | 68 |
| 2026-09-15 | 68 |
| 2026-09-14 | 67.6 |
| 2026-09-09 | 68 |
| 2026-09-06 | 63 |
| 2026-09-05 | 63 |
| 2026-09-03 | 63 |
| 2026-09-02 | 63 |