Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Elian Peña

NYM · High-A · SS

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 18.9 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power not yet translating

The verified power grade is running ahead of current game power. ISO and slugging are the clearest checkpoints

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#145
Prospect Score72
Median68
Performance56
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 33th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.116

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+10.9 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 61
Game Power-16.9 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 33

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 68
72 61 50 2026-06-04 · Median 68 2026-06-05 · Median 66 2026-06-06 · Median 66 2026-06-07 · Median 66 2026-06-08 · Median 67 2026-06-09 · Median 67 2026-06-10 · Median 66 2026-06-11 · Median 66 2026-06-12 · Median 65 2026-06-13 · Median 64 2026-06-14 · Median 63 2026-06-15 · Median 63 2026-06-16 · Median 63 2026-06-17 · Median 62 2026-06-18 · Median 63 2026-06-19 · Median 63 2026-06-20 · Median 64 2026-06-21 · Median 64 2026-06-22 · Median 64 2026-06-23 · Median 64 2026-06-24 · Median 64 2026-06-25 · Median 63 2026-06-26 · Median 63 2026-06-28 · Median 64 2026-06-29 · Median 64 2026-06-30 · Median 64 2026-07-01 · Median 63 2026-07-03 · Median 63 2026-07-05 · Median 63 2026-07-07 · Median 62 2026-07-09 · Median 62 2026-07-11 · Median 62 2026-07-12 · Median 61 2026-07-14 · Median 61 2026-07-16 · Median 61 2026-07-21 · Median 62 2026-07-22 · Median 61 2026-07-23 · Median 62 2026-07-24 · Median 62 2026-07-25 · Median 62 2026-07-26 · Median 61 2026-07-27 · Median 61 2026-07-28 · Median 61 2026-07-29 · Median 62 2026-07-30 · Median 62 2026-07-31 · Median 62 2026-08-01 · Median 62 2026-08-03 · Median 62 2026-08-05 · Median 62 2026-08-07 · Median 62 2026-08-08 · Median 62 2026-08-09 · Median 62 2026-08-10 · Median 62 2026-08-11 · Median 63 2026-08-13 · Median 63 2026-08-14 · Median 64 2026-08-16 · Median 63 2026-08-17 · Median 63 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 63.4 2026-08-25 · Median 62.8 2026-08-27 · Median 64 2026-08-28 · Median 64 2026-09-01 · Median 64 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 68 2026-09-14 · Median 67.6 2026-09-15 · Median 68 2026-09-16 · Median 68 2026-09-17 · Median 68 2026-09-18 · Median 68 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 68 2026-09-25 · Median 68 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 68

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2568
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.116

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.370

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 22.9%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G112
PA516
AVG.255
OBP.369
SLG.370
OPS.739
HR8
SB30
BB%13.6%
K%22.9%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
626874
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 56

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model Watch71 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence92
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production46.0
Historical 80% error band31–62
MLB arrival in 3 years67%
Productive MLB role in 3 years21%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels837354621021112.171.189.286.475
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Brooklyn CyclonesHigh-A167767101121069242.164.260.224.484
2026St. Lucie MetsSingle-A964393657299182844619428.271.388.397.785
20262 teams · TotalAll levels112516432821102038507011830.255.369.370.739
2025DSL Mets OrangeDSL552231784752131933363621.292.421.528.949

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More New York Mets profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.