Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Elier Morillo

MIA · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,420
Score52.0
Baseline50
Signal+1.4
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline50
Ceiling60
Confidence59 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Elier Morillo

MIA · Single-A · P

Miami Marlins · Age at assessment: 21.0 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,420
Prospect Score52.0
Median50
Performance Signal+1.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435060
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 50
59 52.5 46 2026-08-16 · Median 55 2026-08-17 · Median 55 2026-08-18 · Median 55 2026-08-19 · Median 55 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 54.3 2026-08-25 · Median 54.3 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50.5 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450.5
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2554.3
2026-08-2354.3
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1955
2026-08-1855
2026-08-1755
2026-08-1655

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435060
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.9
Projected range25–75
Arrival probability25%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.