Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Elkyns Villarreal

SF · DSL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score11.7#6,387 Overall
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Performance31Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Ceiling36High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
31Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.0 K/9Near expected range
Command18.0 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.73 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited25How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited100Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 24 Latest recorded 25 Change +1.1
29 24 19 2026-09-02 · Median 23.9 2026-09-03 · Median 23.9 2026-09-05 · Median 23.9 2026-09-06 · Median 23.9 2026-09-09 · Median 24.2 2026-09-14 · Median 24.2 2026-09-15 · Median 24.2 2026-09-16 · Median 24 2026-09-17 · Median 24 2026-09-18 · Median 24 2026-09-19 · Median 24 2026-09-21 · Median 24 2026-09-22 · Median 24 2026-09-24 · Median 24 2026-09-25 · Median 24 2026-09-29 · Median 24 2026-09-30 · Median 25 2026-10-03 · Median 25 2026-10-04 · Median 25 2026-10-05 · Median 25 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 25

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0525
2026-10-0425
2026-10-0325
2026-09-3025
2026-09-2924
2026-09-2524
2026-09-2424
2026-09-2224
2026-09-2124
2026-09-1924
2026-09-1824
2026-09-1724
2026-09-1624
2026-09-1524.2
2026-09-1424.2
2026-09-0924.2
2026-09-0623.9
2026-09-0523.9
2026-09-0323.9
2026-09-0223.9