Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Emmanuel Reyes

KC · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,407
Score52.1
Baseline48
Signal-8.2
Trend0.0
Floor41
Baseline48
Ceiling55
Confidence61 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Emmanuel Reyes

KC · High-A · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 22.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,407
Prospect Score52.1
Median48
Performance Signal-8.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 48
55 49.5 44 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50 2026-08-25 · Median 50 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.1 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.1
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2550
2026-08-2350
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.3
Projected range19–61
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.