Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Erick Matos

ATH · ACL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score34.5#3,931 Overall
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Performance35Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor26Lower-end outcome
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Ceiling47High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
35Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.9 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command8.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.46 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping46How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping49Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.3
Projected Range15–65
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationAthletics
LevelACL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 37
42 37.5 33 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 37 2026-09-14 · Median 37.4 2026-09-15 · Median 37 2026-09-16 · Median 37 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 37 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 37

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0537
2026-10-0437
2026-10-0337
2026-09-3037
2026-09-2937
2026-09-2537
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2026-09-2137
2026-09-1937
2026-09-1837
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2026-09-1537
2026-09-1437.4
2026-09-0937
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237