Player Profile
Ernesto Mercedes
NYM · High-A · P · Age 23
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score48.1#1,938 Overall
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Performance48Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.
Performance
Selected evidence48Developing performance profile
Miss ability14.7 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.8 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.61 WHIPElevated traffic
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid34Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.1
Projected Range20–70
Arrival Probability18%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 42
Latest recorded 48
2026-10-05 · Median 48
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 48 |
| 2026-10-04 | 48 |
| 2026-10-03 | 48 |
| 2026-09-30 | 48 |
| 2026-09-29 | 48 |
| 2026-09-25 | 48 |
| 2026-09-24 | 48 |
| 2026-09-22 | 48 |
| 2026-09-21 | 48 |
| 2026-09-19 | 48 |
| 2026-09-18 | 48 |
| 2026-09-17 | 48 |
| 2026-09-16 | 48 |
| 2026-09-15 | 48 |
| 2026-09-14 | 48.3 |
| 2026-09-09 | 48 |
| 2026-09-06 | 43 |
| 2026-09-05 | 43 |
| 2026-09-03 | 43 |
| 2026-09-02 | 42 |