Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Esteban Castro

HOU · DSL · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,141
Score26.5
Baseline36
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline36
Ceiling48
Confidence26 Risk81 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Esteban Castro

HOU · DSL · C

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 18.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,141
Prospect Score26.5
Median36
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203648
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 36
41 36.5 32 2026-08-27 · Median 37 2026-08-28 · Median 37 2026-09-01 · Median 37 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 36.1 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-08-27 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1436.1
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237
2026-09-0137
2026-08-2837
2026-08-2737

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 26
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 81
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203648
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 81
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence26
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.