Player Profile
Ethan Bagwell
ATL · High-A · P · Age 21
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score71.8#158 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance65Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence65Solid current performance
Miss ability8.8 K/9Near expected range
Command2.7 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.07 WHIPStrong traffic prevention
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.6
Projected Range28–70
Arrival Probability34%
Productive Role Probability4%
Player Background
OrganizationAtlanta Braves
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 63
Latest recorded 66
2026-10-05 · Median 66
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 66 |
| 2026-10-04 | 66 |
| 2026-10-03 | 66 |
| 2026-09-30 | 66 |
| 2026-09-29 | 66 |
| 2026-09-25 | 65 |
| 2026-09-24 | 65 |
| 2026-09-22 | 65 |
| 2026-09-21 | 65 |
| 2026-09-19 | 65 |
| 2026-09-18 | 65 |
| 2026-09-17 | 65 |
| 2026-09-16 | 65 |
| 2026-09-15 | 65 |
| 2026-09-14 | 65.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 66 |
| 2026-09-06 | 63 |
| 2026-09-05 | 63 |
| 2026-09-03 | 63 |
| 2026-09-02 | 63 |