Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ethan Holliday

COL · Single-A · SS IL(60-Day)

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 19.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 91%
PB Rank#124
Prospect Score73
Median74
Performance64
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 65; game-power evidence sits near the 95th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.295

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+5.9 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 56
Game Power+20.0 percentile gap
Expected 75 Observed 95

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 76 Latest recorded 74
80 74.5 69 2026-08-27 · Median 76 2026-08-28 · Median 76 2026-09-01 · Median 76 2026-09-02 · Median 76 2026-09-03 · Median 76 2026-09-05 · Median 76 2026-09-06 · Median 76 2026-09-09 · Median 75 2026-09-14 · Median 73.9 2026-09-15 · Median 74 2026-09-16 · Median 74 2026-09-17 · Median 74 2026-09-18 · Median 74 2026-09-19 · Median 74 2026-09-21 · Median 74 2026-09-22 · Median 74 2026-09-24 · Median 74 2026-08-27 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 74

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2474
2026-09-2274
2026-09-2174
2026-09-1974
2026-09-1874
2026-09-1774
2026-09-1674
2026-09-1574
2026-09-1473.9
2026-09-0975
2026-09-0676
2026-09-0576
2026-09-0376
2026-09-0276
2026-09-0176
2026-08-2876
2026-08-2776

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.295

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.557

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 28.3%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G33
PA152
AVG.262
OBP.395
SLG.557
OPS.952
HR9
SB1
BB%15.1%
K%28.3%

Fresno Grizzlies · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
687480
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 64

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 15
MLB / Model WatchMLB #24 MLB Top 100
Confidence87
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production40.7
Historical 80% error band22–59
MLB arrival in 3 years9%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power65Plus
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Fresno GrizzliesSingle-A3315212229325293223431.262.395.557.952
2025Fresno GrizzliesSingle-A1884711417402612330.239.357.380.737

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Colorado Rockies profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.