Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ethan Routzahn

SD · AAA · P · Age 29

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score13.9#6,310 Overall
Baseline17Most likely outcome
Performance25Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline17Most likely outcome
Ceiling27High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
25Developing performance profile
Miss ability6.5 K/9Limited miss signal
Command6.1 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.71 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping51Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection31.8
Projected Range7–57
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 16 Latest recorded 17 Change +0.6
21 16 11 2026-09-02 · Median 16.4 2026-09-03 · Median 15.9 2026-09-05 · Median 15.9 2026-09-06 · Median 15.9 2026-09-09 · Median 16.2 2026-09-14 · Median 16.2 2026-09-15 · Median 16.2 2026-09-16 · Median 16 2026-09-17 · Median 16 2026-09-18 · Median 16 2026-09-19 · Median 16 2026-09-21 · Median 16 2026-09-22 · Median 16 2026-09-24 · Median 16 2026-09-25 · Median 16 2026-09-29 · Median 16 2026-09-30 · Median 17 2026-10-03 · Median 17 2026-10-04 · Median 17 2026-10-05 · Median 17 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 17

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0517
2026-10-0417
2026-10-0317
2026-09-3017
2026-09-2916
2026-09-2516
2026-09-2416
2026-09-2216
2026-09-2116
2026-09-1916
2026-09-1816
2026-09-1716
2026-09-1616
2026-09-1516.2
2026-09-1416.2
2026-09-0916.2
2026-09-0615.9
2026-09-0515.9
2026-09-0315.9
2026-09-0216.4