Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ethan Storm

TB · Single-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score34.5#3,917 Overall
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Performance30Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor27Lower-end outcome
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Ceiling44High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
30Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.7 K/9Near expected range
Command5.9 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.82 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid36Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.4
Projected Range17–59
Arrival Probability7%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 36
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 36.4 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-10-05 · Median 36 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0536
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1436.4
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237