Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Evan Shawver

COL · AAA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws L
Prospect Score35.3#3,819 Overall
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Ceiling41High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.2 K/9Near expected range
Dominance11.4% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Traffic prevention1.46 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.3
Projected Range14–63
Arrival Probability14%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 38 Latest recorded 34
42 36 30 2026-09-02 · Median 38 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 34.7 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 34 2026-10-03 · Median 34 2026-10-04 · Median 34 2026-10-05 · Median 34 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 34

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0534
2026-10-0434
2026-10-0334
2026-09-3034
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2026-09-1434.7
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2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0238