Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Felix Cotes

TB · High-A · 2B

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 21.1 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,393
Prospect Score52.3
Median48
Performance Signal-7.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
414856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 48
57 49.5 42 2026-08-14 · Median 46 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 52.8 2026-08-25 · Median 52.8 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.1 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.1
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2552.8
2026-08-2352.8
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646
2026-08-1446

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 5
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
414856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 5
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection36.1
Projected range18–55
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.