Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Fernando Peguero

BAL · AAA · 2B · Age 22

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score64.8#395 Overall
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Performance50Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.676 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact27.4% KNear expected range
Approach10.8% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid66How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection35.5
Projected Range18–53
Arrival Probability61%
Productive Role Probability5%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelAAA
Position2B
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 64
70 64 58 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 65.3 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 64 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 64 2026-09-22 · Median 64 2026-09-24 · Median 64 2026-09-25 · Median 64 2026-09-29 · Median 64 2026-09-30 · Median 64 2026-10-03 · Median 64 2026-10-04 · Median 64 2026-10-05 · Median 64 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0564
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