Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Frainer Mejias

SF · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

Rank#5,946
Score20.1
Baseline26
Signal-11.9
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline26
Ceiling36
Confidence42 Risk78 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Frainer Mejias

SF · DSL · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 20.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

PB Rank#5,946
Prospect Score20.1
Median26
Performance Signal-11.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202636
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -11.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 25 Latest recorded 26
30 25 20 2026-08-16 · Median 25 2026-08-17 · Median 25 2026-08-18 · Median 25 2026-08-19 · Median 25 2026-08-20 · Median 25 2026-08-22 · Median 25 2026-08-23 · Median 25.2 2026-08-25 · Median 25.2 2026-08-27 · Median 25.2 2026-08-28 · Median 25.2 2026-09-01 · Median 25.2 2026-09-02 · Median 25.2 2026-09-03 · Median 25.2 2026-09-05 · Median 24.9 2026-09-06 · Median 24.9 2026-09-09 · Median 25.9 2026-09-14 · Median 25.9 2026-09-15 · Median 25.9 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0426
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1525.9
2026-09-1425.9
2026-09-0925.9
2026-09-0624.9
2026-09-0524.9
2026-09-0325.2
2026-09-0225.2
2026-09-0125.2
2026-08-2825.2
2026-08-2725.2
2026-08-2525.2
2026-08-2325.2
2026-08-2225
2026-08-2025
2026-08-1925
2026-08-1825
2026-08-1725
2026-08-1625

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 42
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 78
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202636
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -11.9

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 78
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence42
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.0
Projected range17–67
Arrival probability0%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.