Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Francisco Rivero

WSH · FCL · C · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score37.1#3,554 Overall
Baseline44Most likely outcome
Performance41Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor29Lower-end outcome
Baseline44Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
41Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited30How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited69Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelFCL
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 44
48 43.5 39 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 44 2026-09-14 · Median 43.9 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 44 2026-09-18 · Median 44 2026-09-19 · Median 44 2026-09-21 · Median 44 2026-09-22 · Median 44 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-09-25 · Median 44 2026-09-29 · Median 44 2026-09-30 · Median 44 2026-10-03 · Median 44 2026-10-04 · Median 44 2026-10-05 · Median 44 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0544
2026-10-0444
2026-10-0344
2026-09-3044
2026-09-2944
2026-09-2544
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2244
2026-09-2144
2026-09-1944
2026-09-1844
2026-09-1744
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544
2026-09-1443.9
2026-09-0944
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244