Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Franklin Arias

BOS · AAA · SS

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 20.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#2
Prospect Score91
Median90
Performance76
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 40; game-power evidence sits near the 91th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.234

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+27.5 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 94
Game Power+58.0 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 91

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 90 Latest recorded 90
96 85.5 75 2026-06-04 · Median 90 2026-06-05 · Median 90 2026-06-06 · Median 90 2026-06-07 · Median 90 2026-06-08 · Median 88 2026-06-09 · Median 88 2026-06-10 · Median 89 2026-06-11 · Median 89 2026-06-12 · Median 88 2026-06-13 · Median 89 2026-06-14 · Median 87 2026-06-15 · Median 87 2026-06-16 · Median 87 2026-06-17 · Median 87 2026-06-18 · Median 86 2026-06-19 · Median 86 2026-06-20 · Median 85 2026-06-21 · Median 85 2026-06-22 · Median 86 2026-06-23 · Median 86 2026-06-24 · Median 86 2026-06-25 · Median 87 2026-06-26 · Median 87 2026-06-28 · Median 88 2026-06-29 · Median 88 2026-06-30 · Median 88 2026-07-01 · Median 89 2026-07-03 · Median 88 2026-07-05 · Median 89 2026-07-07 · Median 89 2026-07-09 · Median 89 2026-07-11 · Median 87 2026-07-12 · Median 87 2026-07-14 · Median 87 2026-07-16 · Median 87 2026-07-21 · Median 86 2026-07-22 · Median 85 2026-07-23 · Median 85 2026-07-24 · Median 86 2026-07-25 · Median 92 2026-07-26 · Median 79 2026-07-27 · Median 79 2026-07-28 · Median 79 2026-07-29 · Median 84 2026-07-30 · Median 81 2026-07-31 · Median 82 2026-08-01 · Median 87 2026-08-03 · Median 87 2026-08-05 · Median 90 2026-08-07 · Median 90 2026-08-08 · Median 89 2026-08-09 · Median 89 2026-08-10 · Median 85 2026-08-11 · Median 85 2026-08-13 · Median 85 2026-08-14 · Median 89 2026-08-16 · Median 85 2026-08-17 · Median 85 2026-08-18 · Median 83 2026-08-19 · Median 83 2026-08-20 · Median 83 2026-08-22 · Median 82 2026-08-23 · Median 82.1 2026-08-25 · Median 82.1 2026-08-27 · Median 83 2026-08-28 · Median 83 2026-09-01 · Median 82 2026-09-02 · Median 82 2026-09-03 · Median 82 2026-09-05 · Median 82 2026-09-06 · Median 82 2026-09-09 · Median 90 2026-09-14 · Median 90.1 2026-09-15 · Median 90 2026-09-16 · Median 90 2026-09-17 · Median 90 2026-09-18 · Median 89 2026-09-19 · Median 90 2026-09-21 · Median 90 2026-09-22 · Median 90 2026-09-24 · Median 90 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 90

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2490
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2026-09-2190
2026-09-1990
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.234

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.557

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 14.2%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G117
PA520
AVG.323
OBP.400
SLG.557
OPS.957
HR25
SB9
BB%10.2%
K%14.2%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
859095
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 76

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #3 MLB Top 100
Confidence96
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production51.1
Historical 80% error band34–69
MLB arrival in 3 years97%
Productive MLB role in 3 years72%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit60Above Avg
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense60Above Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall60Above Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Contact Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels298240015130.500.556.8751.431
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels188273142750215683.370.415.521.935
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Worcester Red SoxAAA42188166285511063916284.331.388.506.894
2026Portland Sea DogsAA753322835090171195237465.318.407.587.993
20262 teams · TotalAll levels11752044978145281259153749.323.400.557.957
2025Portland Sea DogsAA1048464122028061.261.250.435.685
2025Greenville DriveHigh-A87392355439421164932357.265.329.380.709
2025Salem Red SoxSingle-A198678152740096124.346.407.397.804
20253 teams · TotalAll levels11652647962133271866385312.278.335.388.723
2024Salem Red SoxSingle-A3616614818389032616295.257.331.378.710
2024FCL Red SoxFCL512061664159162628343630.355.471.5841.055
20242 teams · TotalAll levels873723145997252954506535.309.409.487.896
2023DSL Red Sox RedDSL3715913732489111519143.350.440.453.893

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Boston Red Sox profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.