Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Franly Urena

TOR · High-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score50.2#1,669 Overall
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Ceiling55High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.2 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.0 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.49 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.3
Projected Range13–62
Arrival Probability7%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 47
52 46 40 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.2 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-10-05 · Median 47 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0547
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.2
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0244