Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Freddy Contreras

KC · ACL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,409
Score52.1
Baseline55
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor42
Baseline55
Ceiling68
Confidence71 Risk64 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Freddy Contreras

KC · ACL · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 18.1 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,409
Prospect Score52.1
Median55
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
425568
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 55
59 51.5 44 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.7 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-08-27 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.7
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 71
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 64
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
425568
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 64
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence71
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.