Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Freddy Contreras

KC · ACL · P Ranked prospect

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 18.1 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

Medium Confidence · 74%
PB Rank#1,432
Prospect Score52
Median55
Performance45
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 50; command evidence sits near the 79th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.9

What could change the read

  • A 11.1 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+13.8 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 81
Command+29.3 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 79

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 55
59 51.5 44 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.7 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-08-27 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.7
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748

Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.9

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.20

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 19.2%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2025 season

Latest recorded regular season
G10
IP30.0
ERA3.30
WHIP1.17
K/911.1
BB/93.9
K-BB%19.2%

DSL Royals Ventura · DSL · Update date unavailable

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
425568
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 45

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 64
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence71
TypePitcher

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball55Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Statistics availability

The available statistics do not have a recorded update date. Missing values are not treated as zero. The model assessment reflects the evidence available to that run.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2025DSL Royals VenturaDSL113.30109030.0221511013371.1711.10

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs.

More Kansas City Royals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.