Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Fulton Lockhart

LAA · High-A · P

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#879
Prospect Score57.6
Median56
Performance Signal+19.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495664
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 56
61 48 35 2026-08-14 · Median 44 2026-08-16 · Median 39 2026-08-17 · Median 39 2026-08-18 · Median 39 2026-08-19 · Median 39 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 46.2 2026-08-25 · Median 44.8 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.6 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1456.6
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2544.8
2026-08-2346.2
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1939
2026-08-1839
2026-08-1739
2026-08-1639
2026-08-1444

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495664
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.4
Projected range23–72
Arrival probability28%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.