Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Gabriel Lara

NYY · High-A · CF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,173
Score54.3
Baseline51
Signal-2.9
Trend-0.7
Floor43
Baseline51
Ceiling58
Confidence54 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Gabriel Lara

NYY · High-A · CF

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 20.9 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,173
Prospect Score54.3
Median51
Performance Signal-2.9
Trend-0.7

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.7
435158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 51
59 51.5 44 2026-08-11 · Median 48 2026-08-13 · Median 48 2026-08-14 · Median 48 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48.1 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51.4 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.4
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2048.1
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648
2026-08-1448
2026-08-1348
2026-08-1148

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.7
435158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence54
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection36.1
Projected range18–55
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.