Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Gage Stanifer

TOR · AAA · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score69.5#213 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance55Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor61Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
55Solid current performance
Miss ability12.5 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.9 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.54 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Fastball60
Slider60
Changeup45
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh94How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.6
Projected Range20–65
Arrival Probability70%
Productive Role Probability15%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 60 Latest recorded 66
71 63.5 56 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 66.3 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 66 2026-09-22 · Median 66 2026-09-24 · Median 66 2026-09-25 · Median 66 2026-09-29 · Median 66 2026-09-30 · Median 66 2026-10-03 · Median 66 2026-10-04 · Median 66 2026-10-05 · Median 66 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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