Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Gage Stanifer

TOR · AAA · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 22.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command not yet translating

The verified command expectation is running ahead of current strike-throwing results. Walk rate is the clearest constraint

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#211
Prospect Score70
Median66
Performance56
Trend-0.7%

Why the player is here

  • Command 45; command evidence sits near the 22th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 5.9

What could change the read

  • A 12.5 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+10.1 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 77
Command-19.7 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 22

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 66
71 60 49 2026-06-04 · Median 55 2026-06-05 · Median 55 2026-06-06 · Median 55 2026-06-07 · Median 55 2026-06-08 · Median 53 2026-06-09 · Median 53 2026-06-10 · Median 53 2026-06-11 · Median 53 2026-06-12 · Median 53 2026-06-13 · Median 53 2026-06-14 · Median 53 2026-06-15 · Median 53 2026-06-16 · Median 53 2026-06-17 · Median 53 2026-06-18 · Median 53 2026-06-19 · Median 53 2026-06-20 · Median 55 2026-06-21 · Median 55 2026-06-22 · Median 55 2026-06-23 · Median 55 2026-06-24 · Median 55 2026-06-25 · Median 64 2026-06-26 · Median 64 2026-06-28 · Median 64 2026-06-29 · Median 64 2026-06-30 · Median 64 2026-07-01 · Median 64 2026-07-03 · Median 65 2026-07-05 · Median 65 2026-07-07 · Median 65 2026-07-09 · Median 64 2026-07-11 · Median 64 2026-07-12 · Median 64 2026-07-14 · Median 64 2026-07-16 · Median 64 2026-07-21 · Median 64 2026-07-22 · Median 64 2026-07-23 · Median 64 2026-07-24 · Median 64 2026-07-25 · Median 64 2026-07-26 · Median 64 2026-07-27 · Median 64 2026-07-28 · Median 64 2026-07-29 · Median 64 2026-07-30 · Median 64 2026-07-31 · Median 64 2026-08-01 · Median 63 2026-08-03 · Median 63 2026-08-05 · Median 63 2026-08-07 · Median 63 2026-08-08 · Median 63 2026-08-09 · Median 63 2026-08-10 · Median 63 2026-08-11 · Median 63 2026-08-13 · Median 63 2026-08-14 · Median 63 2026-08-16 · Median 63 2026-08-17 · Median 63 2026-08-18 · Median 63 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 63.3 2026-08-25 · Median 63.3 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 60 2026-09-01 · Median 60 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 66.3 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 66 2026-09-22 · Median 66 2026-09-24 · Median 66 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2466
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 5.9

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.50

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 16.2%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G31
IP100.2
ERA4.83
WHIP1.54
K/912.5
BB/95.9
K-BB%16.2%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.7%
616671
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 56

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch69 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence94
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production42.6
Historical 80% error band20–65
MLB arrival in 3 years70%
Productive MLB role in 3 years15%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels009.001001.02110123.0018.00
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels202.797019.263306221.2420.48
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Buffalo BisonsAAA004.913013.23220271.3617.18
2026New Hampshire Fisher CatsAA684.822819097.086585214641331.5512.34
20262 teams · TotalAll levels684.8331191100.289605414661401.5412.52
2025New Hampshire Fisher CatsAA016.752208.05662981.759.00
2025Vancouver CanadiansHigh-A453.201814276.05629272371151.2213.62
2025Dunedin Blue JaysSingle-A400.6970226.01032012380.8513.15
20253 teams · TotalAll levels862.8627164110.07138354581611.1713.17
2024Dunedin Blue JaysSingle-A356.341917059.2554242550641.769.65
2023FCL Blue JaysFCL146.33117042.2443230323471.579.91

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2026 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Toronto Blue Jays profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.