Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Garrett Lambert

COL · ACL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,128
Score26.5
Baseline32
Signal0.0
Trend-1.5
Floor20
Baseline32
Ceiling45
Confidence24 Risk63 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Garrett Lambert

COL · ACL · P

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 22.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,128
Prospect Score26.5
Median32
Performance Signal0.0
Trend-1.5

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-1.5
203245
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 32
37 32.5 28 2026-08-20 · Median 33 2026-08-22 · Median 33 2026-08-23 · Median 33 2026-08-25 · Median 33 2026-08-27 · Median 33 2026-08-28 · Median 33 2026-09-01 · Median 33 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 33 2026-09-14 · Median 32.7 2026-09-15 · Median 33 2026-09-16 · Median 33 2026-09-17 · Median 33 2026-09-18 · Median 33 2026-09-19 · Median 33 2026-09-21 · Median 33 2026-09-22 · Median 33 2026-09-24 · Median 33 2026-09-25 · Median 33 2026-09-29 · Median 33 2026-09-30 · Median 33 2026-10-03 · Median 33 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0333
2026-09-3033
2026-09-2933
2026-09-2533
2026-09-2433
2026-09-2233
2026-09-2133
2026-09-1933
2026-09-1833
2026-09-1733
2026-09-1633
2026-09-1533
2026-09-1432.7
2026-09-0933
2026-09-0633
2026-09-0533
2026-09-0333
2026-09-0233
2026-09-0133
2026-08-2833
2026-08-2733
2026-08-2533
2026-08-2333
2026-08-2233
2026-08-2033

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Declining
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-1.5
203245
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 63
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence24
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.