Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Gavin Adams

PIT · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#4,639
Score29.6
Baseline32
Signal-22.7
Trend-1.0
Floor23
Baseline32
Ceiling42
Confidence47 Risk38 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Gavin Adams

PIT · Single-A · P

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 23.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#4,639
Prospect Score29.6
Median32
Performance Signal-22.7
Trend-1.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-1.0
233242
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -22.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 32
37 32.5 28 2026-08-16 · Median 33 2026-08-17 · Median 33 2026-08-18 · Median 33 2026-08-19 · Median 33 2026-08-20 · Median 33 2026-08-22 · Median 33 2026-08-23 · Median 32.9 2026-08-25 · Median 32.9 2026-08-27 · Median 33 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 33 2026-09-14 · Median 32.7 2026-09-15 · Median 33 2026-09-16 · Median 33 2026-09-17 · Median 33 2026-09-18 · Median 33 2026-09-19 · Median 33 2026-09-21 · Median 33 2026-09-22 · Median 33 2026-09-24 · Median 33 2026-09-25 · Median 33 2026-09-29 · Median 33 2026-09-30 · Median 33 2026-10-03 · Median 33 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0333
2026-09-3033
2026-09-2933
2026-09-2533
2026-09-2433
2026-09-2233
2026-09-2133
2026-09-1933
2026-09-1833
2026-09-1733
2026-09-1633
2026-09-1533
2026-09-1432.7
2026-09-0933
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2733
2026-08-2532.9
2026-08-2332.9
2026-08-2233
2026-08-2033
2026-08-1933
2026-08-1833
2026-08-1733
2026-08-1633

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 47
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 38
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-1.0
233242
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -22.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 38
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence47
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection20.4
Projected range0–45
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.