Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Gavin Cross

KC · AAA · RF

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 25.6 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,621
Prospect Score50.6
Median46
Performance Signal-7.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
414650
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 46
54 48 42 2026-08-10 · Median 48 2026-08-11 · Median 48 2026-08-13 · Median 49 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49.3 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 46.1 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1446.1
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2049.3
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649
2026-08-1449
2026-08-1349
2026-08-1148
2026-08-1048

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 13
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
414650
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 13
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection28.7
Projected range11–46
Arrival probability42%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.