Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Gavin Fien

WSH · Single-A · 3B

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 19.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact tool translating

Current contact results are broadly aligned with the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#395
Prospect Score65
Median62
Performance48
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 39th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 26.5%

What could change the read

  • A 12.8% walk rate provides meaningful approach support

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-11.3 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 39
Game Power+2.2 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 61

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 62
66 57 48 2026-06-04 · Median 52 2026-06-05 · Median 52 2026-06-06 · Median 56 2026-06-07 · Median 56 2026-06-08 · Median 57 2026-06-09 · Median 57 2026-06-10 · Median 56 2026-06-11 · Median 57 2026-06-12 · Median 56 2026-06-13 · Median 56 2026-06-14 · Median 57 2026-06-15 · Median 57 2026-06-16 · Median 57 2026-06-17 · Median 56 2026-06-18 · Median 56 2026-06-19 · Median 56 2026-06-20 · Median 55 2026-06-21 · Median 55 2026-06-22 · Median 59 2026-06-23 · Median 59 2026-06-24 · Median 58 2026-06-25 · Median 58 2026-06-26 · Median 57 2026-06-28 · Median 59 2026-06-29 · Median 58 2026-06-30 · Median 58 2026-07-01 · Median 57 2026-07-03 · Median 59 2026-07-05 · Median 58 2026-07-07 · Median 57 2026-07-09 · Median 56 2026-07-11 · Median 57 2026-07-12 · Median 58 2026-07-14 · Median 57 2026-07-16 · Median 57 2026-07-21 · Median 57 2026-07-22 · Median 57 2026-07-23 · Median 57 2026-07-24 · Median 57 2026-07-25 · Median 57 2026-07-26 · Median 57 2026-07-27 · Median 57 2026-07-28 · Median 57 2026-07-29 · Median 56 2026-07-30 · Median 56 2026-07-31 · Median 56 2026-08-01 · Median 56 2026-08-03 · Median 56 2026-08-05 · Median 56 2026-08-07 · Median 56 2026-08-08 · Median 56 2026-08-09 · Median 56 2026-08-10 · Median 56 2026-08-11 · Median 56 2026-08-13 · Median 56 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 56 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 55.4 2026-08-25 · Median 55.4 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.8 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2462
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Metrics to follow

K% 26.5%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 12.8%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.337

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G76
PA344
AVG.242
OBP.337
SLG.401
OPS.738
HR10
SB6
BB%12.8%
K%26.5%

Fredericksburg Nationals · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
566267
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 48

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model Watch65 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence90
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production34.7
Historical 80% error band19–50
MLB arrival in 3 years9%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power55Avg
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels2108320000220.250.400.250.650
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A763442973972132105244916.242.337.401.738
2025Hickory CrawdadsSingle-A1045414931073111.220.267.341.608

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.