Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Gerardo Salas

STL · High-A · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score47.4#2,029 Overall
Baseline45Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor38Lower-end outcome
Baseline45Most likely outcome
Ceiling52High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.6 K/9Near expected range
Dominance13.3% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Contact management1.7 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.4
Projected Range18–67
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 45
49 44.5 40 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 45 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-10-05 · Median 45 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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