Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Gus Hughes

WSH · High-A · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,384
Prospect Score52.3
Median49
Performance Signal+7.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
424959
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 49
54 42.5 31 2026-08-14 · Median 44 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 43 2026-08-22 · Median 43 2026-08-23 · Median 46 2026-08-25 · Median 46 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.6 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.6
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0635
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-08-2546
2026-08-2346
2026-08-2243
2026-08-2043
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1744
2026-08-1644
2026-08-1444

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
424959
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.9
Projected range26–76
Arrival probability9%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.