Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Hayden Alvarez

LAA · High-A · OF

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 19.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#87
Prospect Score75
Median71
Performance63
Trend+0.1%

Why the player is here

  • Power 40; game-power evidence sits near the 70th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.167

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+22.6 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 81
Game Power+36.8 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 70

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 71
75 63.5 52 2026-06-04 · Median 63 2026-06-05 · Median 64 2026-06-06 · Median 66 2026-06-07 · Median 65 2026-06-08 · Median 64 2026-06-09 · Median 64 2026-06-10 · Median 65 2026-06-11 · Median 64 2026-06-12 · Median 65 2026-06-13 · Median 67 2026-06-14 · Median 67 2026-06-15 · Median 68 2026-06-16 · Median 68 2026-06-17 · Median 69 2026-06-18 · Median 68 2026-06-19 · Median 67 2026-06-20 · Median 66 2026-06-21 · Median 68 2026-06-22 · Median 68 2026-06-23 · Median 68 2026-06-24 · Median 68 2026-06-25 · Median 67 2026-06-26 · Median 68 2026-06-28 · Median 68 2026-06-29 · Median 68 2026-06-30 · Median 68 2026-07-01 · Median 67 2026-07-03 · Median 67 2026-07-05 · Median 67 2026-07-07 · Median 67 2026-07-09 · Median 66 2026-07-11 · Median 66 2026-07-12 · Median 66 2026-07-14 · Median 66 2026-07-16 · Median 66 2026-07-21 · Median 67 2026-07-22 · Median 66 2026-07-23 · Median 66 2026-07-24 · Median 66 2026-07-25 · Median 65 2026-07-26 · Median 65 2026-07-27 · Median 65 2026-07-28 · Median 65 2026-07-29 · Median 65 2026-07-30 · Median 65 2026-07-31 · Median 66 2026-08-01 · Median 66 2026-08-03 · Median 66 2026-08-05 · Median 56 2026-08-07 · Median 56 2026-08-08 · Median 57 2026-08-09 · Median 59 2026-08-10 · Median 59 2026-08-11 · Median 59 2026-08-13 · Median 59 2026-08-14 · Median 59 2026-08-16 · Median 59 2026-08-17 · Median 59 2026-08-18 · Median 59 2026-08-19 · Median 58 2026-08-20 · Median 67 2026-08-22 · Median 69 2026-08-23 · Median 68.7 2026-08-25 · Median 68.7 2026-08-27 · Median 69 2026-08-28 · Median 69 2026-09-01 · Median 67 2026-09-02 · Median 66 2026-09-03 · Median 67 2026-09-05 · Median 66 2026-09-06 · Median 66 2026-09-09 · Median 71 2026-09-14 · Median 71 2026-09-15 · Median 71 2026-09-16 · Median 71 2026-09-17 · Median 71 2026-09-18 · Median 71 2026-09-19 · Median 71 2026-09-21 · Median 71 2026-09-22 · Median 71 2026-09-24 · Median 71 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 71

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2471
2026-09-2271
2026-09-2171
2026-09-1971
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2026-08-2769
2026-08-2568.7
2026-08-2368.7
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2026-06-0666
2026-06-0564
2026-06-0463

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.167

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.456

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 19.8%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G118
PA551
AVG.289
OBP.391
SLG.456
OPS.847
HR12
SB53
BB%13.6%
K%19.8%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+0.1%
667177
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 63

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model Watch73 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence91
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production47.3
Historical 80% error band32–63
MLB arrival in 3 years82%
Productive MLB role in 3 years23%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1051428810148106.190.333.286.619
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Tri-City Dust DevilsHigh-A22105891523601815197.258.371.360.731
2026Rancho Cucamonga QuakesSingle-A96446378931122651154609046.296.396.479.874
20262 teams · TotalAll levels11855146710813532512627510953.289.391.456.847
2025Inland Empire 66ersSingle-A2076621222500181089.355.459.435.895
2025ACL AngelsACL55221182386153226314124.335.427.429.855
20252 teams · TotalAll levels752972445083103244414933.340.435.430.865
2024DSL AngelsDSL502171764344103129313532.250.363.358.721

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Los Angeles Angels profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.