Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Hayden Minton

DET · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#781
Score58.9
Baseline55
Signal+3.2
Trend-1.8
Floor49
Baseline55
Ceiling61
Confidence61 Risk1 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Hayden Minton

DET · AAA · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 25.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#781
Prospect Score58.9
Median55
Performance Signal+3.2
Trend-1.8

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-1.8
495561
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 55
63 52.5 42 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 58.6 2026-08-25 · Median 58.6 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.7 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.7
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2558.6
2026-08-2358.6
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Declining
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 1
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-1.8
495561
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 1
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.1
Projected range21–67
Arrival probability40%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.