Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Hendrick Caña

STL · FCL · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 18.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#1,302
Prospect Score53.1
Median52
Performance Signal+9.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
425263
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 52
72 59.5 47 2026-08-14 · Median 51 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 67 2026-08-22 · Median 68 2026-08-23 · Median 67.8 2026-08-25 · Median 67.8 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.9 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.9
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2567.8
2026-08-2367.8
2026-08-2268
2026-08-2067
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651
2026-08-1451

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 49
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
425263
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence49
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection51.8
Projected range27–77
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.