Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Heriberto Ron

ARI · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,744
Score49.5
Baseline49
Signal+27.6
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline49
Ceiling61
Confidence53 Risk38 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Heriberto Ron

ARI · DSL · P

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 19.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,744
Prospect Score49.5
Median49
Performance Signal+27.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404961
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +27.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 49
54 49 44 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 49 2026-08-25 · Median 49 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.9 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.9
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2549
2026-08-2349
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 53
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 38
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404961
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +27.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 38
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence53
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection58.8
Projected range34–84
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.