Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Homer Bush Jr.

TB · AAA · CF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 25.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,313
Prospect Score53.0
Median47
Performance Signal-18.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
424751
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -18.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 47
51 46.5 42 2026-07-16 · Median 46 2026-07-21 · Median 46 2026-07-22 · Median 46 2026-07-23 · Median 47 2026-07-24 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.5 2026-08-25 · Median 46.5 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.9 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-07-16 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1446.9
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2546.5
2026-08-2346.5
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-07-2447
2026-07-2347
2026-07-2246
2026-07-2146
2026-07-1646

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 5
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
424751
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -18.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 5
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection31.3
Projected range14–49
Arrival probability40%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.