Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Ismael Agreda

TEX · AA · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,006
Prospect Score56.1
Median52
Performance Signal-5.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475256
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 52
56 48.5 41 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 45.1 2026-08-25 · Median 45.1 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2545.1
2026-08-2345.1
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475256
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.2
Projected range20–65
Arrival probability34%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.