Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Ivan Brethowr

PIT · AA · RF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#2,049
Score47.2
Baseline45
Signal-24.1
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline45
Ceiling52
Confidence62 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Ivan Brethowr

PIT · AA · RF

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 23.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#2,049
Prospect Score47.2
Median45
Performance Signal-24.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -24.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 45
51 46 41 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 45.7 2026-08-25 · Median 45.7 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.7 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2945
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1445.7
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2545.7
2026-08-2345.7
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -24.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection32.5
Projected range15–50
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.