Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ivan Luciano

ARI · High-A · C · Age 20

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score70.3#192 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance60Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor61Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
60Solid current performance
Offensive impact.819 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact21.0% KNear expected range
Approach14.0% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit50
Power40
Run40
Field50
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection46.2
Projected Range31–62
Arrival Probability50%
Productive Role Probability11%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelHigh-A
PositionC
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 66 Latest recorded 66
71 65 59 2026-09-02 · Median 66 2026-09-03 · Median 64 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 66.7 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 66 2026-10-05 · Median 66 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0566
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2026-09-1466.7
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