Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ivan Luciano

ARI · High-A · C

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 19.8 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#186
Prospect Score71
Median67
Performance60
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 40; game-power evidence sits near the 72th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.178

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+20.0 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 70
Game Power+38.4 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 72

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 67
73 60.5 48 2026-06-04 · Median 54 2026-06-05 · Median 54 2026-06-06 · Median 52 2026-06-07 · Median 52 2026-06-08 · Median 53 2026-06-09 · Median 53 2026-06-10 · Median 53 2026-06-11 · Median 53 2026-06-12 · Median 53 2026-06-13 · Median 52 2026-06-14 · Median 52 2026-06-15 · Median 53 2026-06-16 · Median 53 2026-06-17 · Median 54 2026-06-18 · Median 55 2026-06-19 · Median 57 2026-06-20 · Median 57 2026-06-21 · Median 58 2026-06-22 · Median 58 2026-06-23 · Median 58 2026-06-24 · Median 59 2026-06-25 · Median 58 2026-06-26 · Median 58 2026-06-28 · Median 59 2026-06-29 · Median 59 2026-06-30 · Median 59 2026-07-01 · Median 60 2026-07-03 · Median 60 2026-07-05 · Median 59 2026-07-07 · Median 59 2026-07-09 · Median 58 2026-07-11 · Median 60 2026-07-12 · Median 60 2026-07-14 · Median 60 2026-07-16 · Median 60 2026-07-21 · Median 60 2026-07-22 · Median 59 2026-07-23 · Median 60 2026-07-24 · Median 61 2026-07-25 · Median 61 2026-07-26 · Median 61 2026-07-27 · Median 61 2026-07-28 · Median 61 2026-07-29 · Median 61 2026-07-30 · Median 61 2026-07-31 · Median 60 2026-08-01 · Median 60 2026-08-03 · Median 60 2026-08-05 · Median 61 2026-08-07 · Median 60 2026-08-08 · Median 60 2026-08-09 · Median 60 2026-08-10 · Median 61 2026-08-11 · Median 61 2026-08-13 · Median 60 2026-08-14 · Median 62 2026-08-16 · Median 57 2026-08-17 · Median 57 2026-08-18 · Median 57 2026-08-19 · Median 57 2026-08-20 · Median 65 2026-08-22 · Median 65 2026-08-23 · Median 68.7 2026-08-25 · Median 68.5 2026-08-27 · Median 68 2026-08-28 · Median 68 2026-09-01 · Median 66 2026-09-02 · Median 66 2026-09-03 · Median 64 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 66.7 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2567
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.178

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.444

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 21.0%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G97
PA428
AVG.266
OBP.376
SLG.444
OPS.819
HR12
SB5
BB%14.0%
K%21.0%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
626772
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 60

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model Watch71 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence91
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production46.2
Historical 80% error band31–62
MLB arrival in 3 years50%
Productive MLB role in 3 years11%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels41716331000180.188.235.250.485
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Hillsboro HopsHigh-A125143812501106150.279.380.465.845
2026Visalia RawhideSingle-A853773115282182115054755.264.375.441.816
20262 teams · TotalAll levels974283546094232126060905.266.376.444.819
2025Visalia RawhideSingle-A31414241002050.286.286.357.643
2025ACL D-backsACL4416613116366121928311.275.398.382.779
20252 teams · TotalAll levels4718014518407122128361.276.389.379.768

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2024 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Arizona Diamondbacks profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.