Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ivan Sosa

KC · Single-A · SS · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score32.8#4,180 Overall
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Performance27Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor26Lower-end outcome
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Ceiling44High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
27Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.575 OPSLimited current offensive impact
Contact38.3% KContact risk
On-base foundation.206 OBPOn-base output is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid56How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid39Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection18.5
Projected Range0–37
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelSingle-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 36
40 35.5 31 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 35.8 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-10-05 · Median 36 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0536
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1435.8
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236