Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

J.D. Thompson

MIL · AA · P

Milwaukee Brewers · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: R · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#440
Prospect Score63.9
Median58
Performance Signal+10.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
545863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 58
67 58 49 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 62.7 2026-08-25 · Median 62.7 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 58 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458
2026-09-0959
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262
2026-09-0162
2026-08-2862
2026-08-2762
2026-08-2562.7
2026-08-2362.7
2026-08-2263
2026-08-2063
2026-08-1953
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653
2026-08-1453

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
545863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.4
Projected range24–73
Arrival probability30%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.