Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

J.T. Bain

TOR · DSL · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,717
Score22.8
Baseline30
Signal-3.2
Trend-1.7
Floor20
Baseline30
Ceiling42
Confidence29 Risk77 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

J.T. Bain

TOR · DSL · SS

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 19.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,717
Prospect Score22.8
Median30
Performance Signal-3.2
Trend-1.7

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-1.7
203042
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 31 Latest recorded 30
36 31 26 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 31 2026-08-22 · Median 31 2026-08-23 · Median 31.1 2026-08-25 · Median 31.1 2026-08-27 · Median 31 2026-08-28 · Median 31 2026-09-01 · Median 31 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 31 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.6 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0430
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1430.6
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0331
2026-09-0231
2026-09-0131
2026-08-2831
2026-08-2731
2026-08-2531.1
2026-08-2331.1
2026-08-2231
2026-08-2031
2026-08-1931
2026-08-1831
2026-08-1731
2026-08-1631

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Declining
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 29
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 77
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-1.7
203042
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.2

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 77
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence29
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.