Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jack Cebert

WSH · AA · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#664
Prospect Score60
Median57
Performance52
Trend-9.3%

Why the player is here

  • Command 50; command evidence sits near the 70th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.5

What could change the read

  • A 10.0 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+1.5 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 60
Command+19.7 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 70

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 57
67 57 47 2026-06-04 · Median 54 2026-06-05 · Median 54 2026-06-06 · Median 53 2026-06-07 · Median 53 2026-06-08 · Median 53 2026-06-09 · Median 53 2026-06-10 · Median 53 2026-06-11 · Median 53 2026-06-12 · Median 53 2026-06-13 · Median 54 2026-06-14 · Median 54 2026-06-15 · Median 54 2026-06-16 · Median 54 2026-06-17 · Median 55 2026-06-18 · Median 55 2026-06-19 · Median 51 2026-06-20 · Median 51 2026-06-21 · Median 51 2026-06-22 · Median 51 2026-06-23 · Median 51 2026-06-24 · Median 51 2026-06-25 · Median 51 2026-06-26 · Median 54 2026-06-28 · Median 54 2026-06-29 · Median 54 2026-06-30 · Median 54 2026-07-01 · Median 54 2026-07-03 · Median 54 2026-07-05 · Median 54 2026-07-07 · Median 54 2026-07-09 · Median 52 2026-07-11 · Median 52 2026-07-12 · Median 52 2026-07-14 · Median 52 2026-07-16 · Median 52 2026-07-21 · Median 54 2026-07-22 · Median 54 2026-07-23 · Median 54 2026-07-24 · Median 54 2026-07-25 · Median 55 2026-07-26 · Median 55 2026-07-27 · Median 55 2026-07-28 · Median 55 2026-07-29 · Median 55 2026-07-30 · Median 55 2026-07-31 · Median 55 2026-08-01 · Median 55 2026-08-03 · Median 55 2026-08-05 · Median 55 2026-08-07 · Median 55 2026-08-08 · Median 55 2026-08-09 · Median 55 2026-08-10 · Median 56 2026-08-11 · Median 56 2026-08-13 · Median 56 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 56 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 54.4 2026-08-25 · Median 54.4 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.7 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1663
2026-09-1563
2026-09-1462.7
2026-09-0963
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2762
2026-08-2554.4
2026-08-2354.4
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2056
2026-08-1956
2026-08-1856
2026-08-1756
2026-08-1656
2026-08-1456
2026-08-1356
2026-08-1156
2026-08-1056
2026-08-0955
2026-08-0855
2026-08-0755
2026-08-0555
2026-08-0355
2026-08-0155
2026-07-3155
2026-07-3055
2026-07-2955
2026-07-2855
2026-07-2755
2026-07-2655
2026-07-2555
2026-07-2454
2026-07-2354
2026-07-2254
2026-07-2154
2026-07-1652
2026-07-1452
2026-07-1252
2026-07-1152
2026-07-0952
2026-07-0754
2026-07-0554
2026-07-0354
2026-07-0154
2026-06-3054
2026-06-2954
2026-06-2854
2026-06-2654
2026-06-2551
2026-06-2451
2026-06-2351
2026-06-2251
2026-06-2151
2026-06-2051
2026-06-1951
2026-06-1855
2026-06-1755
2026-06-1654
2026-06-1554
2026-06-1454
2026-06-1354
2026-06-1253
2026-06-1153
2026-06-1053
2026-06-0953
2026-06-0853
2026-06-0753
2026-06-0653
2026-06-0554
2026-06-0454

Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.5

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.30

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 16.7%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G24
IP109.1
ERA4.03
WHIP1.32
K/910.0
BB/93.5
K-BB%16.7%

4 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-9.3%
525761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 52

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production47.8
Historical 80% error band25–71
MLB arrival in 3 years57%
Productive MLB role in 3 years9%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball50Avg
Cutter icon
Cutter50Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballCutterCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels107.711002.12221121.297.71
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels124.8653016.221139211131.927.02
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Rochester Red WingsAAA124.8653016.221139211131.927.02
2026Harrisburg SenatorsAA002.7033010.053317131.2011.70
2026Somerset PatriotsAA234.901312064.16639351123791.3811.05
2026Hudson Valley RenegadesHigh-A210.9832018.194212170.608.35
20264 teams · TotalAll levels564.0324200109.1101594915431221.3210.04
2025Hudson Valley RenegadesHigh-A002.845006.142221110.7915.63

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.