Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jack Crowder

BAL · High-A · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#1,845
Prospect Score48.8
Median46
Performance Signal-3.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384657
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 46
51 40 29 2026-08-14 · Median 33 2026-08-16 · Median 33 2026-08-17 · Median 33 2026-08-18 · Median 33 2026-08-19 · Median 33 2026-08-20 · Median 40 2026-08-22 · Median 40 2026-08-23 · Median 39.7 2026-08-25 · Median 39.7 2026-08-27 · Median 40 2026-08-28 · Median 40 2026-09-01 · Median 40 2026-09-02 · Median 40 2026-09-03 · Median 40 2026-09-05 · Median 40 2026-09-06 · Median 40 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.8 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1446.8
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0640
2026-09-0540
2026-09-0340
2026-09-0240
2026-09-0140
2026-08-2840
2026-08-2740
2026-08-2539.7
2026-08-2339.7
2026-08-2240
2026-08-2040
2026-08-1933
2026-08-1833
2026-08-1733
2026-08-1633
2026-08-1433

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 50
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384657
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence50
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.5
Projected range25–74
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.