Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jack Eshleman

TOR · High-A · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,108
Prospect Score54.9
Median52
Performance Signal+9.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 52
56 49.5 43 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 47.6 2026-08-25 · Median 47.6 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.9 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.9
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2547.6
2026-08-2347.6
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650
2026-08-1449

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.7
Projected range22–72
Arrival probability7%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.