Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jack Jasiak

CLE · AAA · P

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 25.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#562
Prospect Score61.9
Median59
Performance Signal+11.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
535966
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 59
64 52 40 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 47.2 2026-08-25 · Median 47.2 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.5 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.5
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2547.2
2026-08-2347.2
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 1
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
535966
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 1
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.6
Projected range22–71
Arrival probability29%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.